Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.003657 0.003835 0.004017 0.004217 0.004431 0.004654 0.004903
2025-02-09 0.003301 0.003565 0.003846 0.004167 0.004527 0.004919 0.005380
2025-02-16 0.003101 0.003415 0.003758 0.004163 0.004631 0.005157 0.005797
2025-02-23 0.002937 0.003284 0.003672 0.004140 0.004694 0.005335 0.006139
2025-03-02 0.002841 0.003219 0.003650 0.004181 0.004825 0.005587 0.006572
2025-03-09 0.002718 0.003114 0.003572 0.004146 0.004856 0.005715 0.006852
2025-03-16 0.002608 0.003018 0.003498 0.004109 0.004877 0.005826 0.007109
2025-03-23 0.002496 0.002912 0.003406 0.004043 0.004856 0.005878 0.007287
2025-03-30 0.002397 0.002818 0.003322 0.003982 0.004836 0.005926 0.007460
2025-04-06 0.002339 0.002771 0.003296 0.003990 0.004902 0.006087 0.007787
2025-04-13 0.002216 0.002639 0.003156 0.003847 0.004764 0.005969 0.007722
2025-04-20 0.002171 0.002604 0.003139 0.003861 0.004832 0.006128 0.008051
2025-04-27 0.002165 0.002619 0.003186 0.003962 0.005024 0.006469 0.008665
2025-05-04 0.002096 0.002551 0.003124 0.003916 0.005013 0.006528 0.008870
2025-05-11 0.002049 0.002509 0.003094 0.003912 0.005059 0.006667 0.009201
2025-05-18 0.001998 0.002461 0.003054 0.003891 0.005079 0.006768 0.009477
2025-05-25 0.001973 0.002445 0.003056 0.003929 0.005183 0.006995 0.009963
2025-06-01 0.001924 0.002396 0.003011 0.003897 0.005185 0.007068 0.010205
2025-06-08 0.001876 0.002347 0.002965 0.003862 0.005180 0.007132 0.010433
2025-06-15 0.001820 0.002287 0.002902 0.003802 0.005134 0.007128 0.010548
2025-06-22 0.001770 0.002231 0.002844 0.003746 0.005093 0.007130 0.010671
2025-06-29 0.001743 0.002208 0.002830 0.003753 0.005146 0.007281 0.011058
2025-07-06 0.001670 0.002120 0.002723 0.003622 0.004984 0.007083 0.010824